INVESTMENT UPDATES

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June 24, 2019

WEEKLY INVESTMENT UPDATE

Key points:

  • G20 meeting and US-China trade talks to draw focus at the end of this week.

  • Oil price lifts off the back of Iranian tensions.

  • Central Banks display readiness to ease rates and policy should uncertainties continue to hurt confidence or dampen the inflation outlook.

  • Latest economic (PMI) figures may pose serious threat to equity prices if interest rates are not cut as much as the market expects.

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June 17, 2019

WEEKLY INVESTMENT UPDATE

Key points:

  • Asset prices are on relatively high valuations – however might stay there as central banks adopt easier policies.
  • Volatility may increase, as is typical for the time of year.
  • Some risk that the market will be disappointed by the Fed, but the greater risk is perhaps that little progress is made by the US and China at the G20 summit in two weeks’ time.
  • The market will need to be continued to be fed good news to remain near current levels.

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June 10, 2019

WEEKLY INVESTMENT UPDATE

Key points:

  • Asset prices rose last week as bond yields and short-term interest rate expectations fell;

  • Trade concerns continue to pervade markets - Mexico gets a reprieve whilst China announced further retaliation;

  • Global business confidence declines sharply, but Australia’s trade surplus is close to an all-time high;

  • Australia remains an attractive place to invest globally with accommodative monetary policy and the Australian dollar should continue to gain support. However this is unlikely to translate into strong performance from Australian Shares.

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June 3, 2019

WEEKLY INVESTMENT UPDATE

Key points:

  • US trade aggression to China continues. China just getting started.

  • President Trump takes aim at Japan, Mexico and possibly Europe.

  • RBA set to cut rates on Tuesday with more to follow in the new financial year.

  • EU dismantles Brexit negotiating team. We expect volatility for the Pound and UK / European equities.

  • UK: Theresa May hands over the reins to new Conservative PM on Friday.

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May 27, 2019

WEEKLY INVESTMENT UPDATE

Key points:

  • Market friendly government re-election, RBA signals rate cut and APRA supports easing of mortgage lending restrictions;

  • As a result, local share prices rose and support for house prices should follow.

  • Globally, a rapid deterioration in the outlook, falling oil prices and bond yields all suggest the buoyant local conditions might not last.

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May 20, 2019

WEEKLY INVESTMENT UPDATE

Key points:

  • Coalition surprises on the upside to potentially claim majority government;

  • Good news for the Australian sharemarket with the Labor’s policies on Franking Credits and Capital Gains dying off. The residential property market may get a sugar hit too, but we are still bearish in the medium to long-term.

  • Despite this, as per our recent reports, valuations remain stretched and above long term averages, unless they are met with new found support and optimism, which is now a possibility.

  • European data showing signs of gradual improvement, but Theresa May will be stepping down in July after Brexit negotiations broke down.

  • US data is mixed and pointing towards a slowdown.

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